2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

Index Definitions

S&P 500 Index: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index tracks the performance of 500 widely held, large-capitalization US stocks.

Risk Considerations

Equity securities may fluctuate in response to news on companies, industries, market conditions and general economic environment.

The value of fixed income securities will fluctuate and, upon a sale, may be worth more or less than their original cost or maturity value. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk, call risk, reinvestment risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk of the issuer.

High yield bonds (bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited liquidity in the secondary market. High yield bonds should comprise only a limited portion of a balanced portfolio.

Companies paying dividends can reduce or cut payouts at any time.

Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining financial markets.

Investing in small- to medium-sized companies entails special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial resources, and greater volatility than securities of larger, more established companies.

Because of their narrow focus, sector investments tend to be more volatile than investments that diversify across many sectors and companies. Technology stocks may be especially volatile. Risks applicable to companies in the energy and natural resources sectors include commodity pricing risk, supply and demand risk, depletion risk and exploration risk. Health care sector stocks are subject to government regulation, as well as government approval of products and services, which can significantly impact price and availability, and which can also be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations.

The indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment.

The indices selected by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to measure performance are representative of broad asset classes. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management retains the right to change representative indices at any time.

Disclosures

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, its affiliates and Morgan Stanley Financial Advisors do not provide legal or tax advice. Each client should always consult his/her personal tax and/or legal advisor for information concerning his/her individual situation and to learn about any potential tax or other implications that may result from acting on a particular recommendation.

This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC.

© 2024 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, Member SIPC.

CRC# 6187449 (01/2024)

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

FAQs

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley? ›

Key Takeaways. The U.S. equity market's rally at the end of 2023 has left stocks overvalued, with little room for error. Analysts' estimates for 2024 corporate earnings may be too optimistic, given a likely tapering in U.S. economic growth. Markets may also be overestimating the number of Fed rate cuts in 2024.

What is the market forecast for Morgan Stanley in 2024? ›

MSCI World Index earnings are expected to rise close to 10% in 2024 and by 11%+ in 2025. This looks demanding given expected 2024 nominal GDP growth in developed markets of 3%-4%, and seems to imply that margins will have to rise further from levels that are already close to peak.

What is the stock market prediction for 2024? ›

The Big Money bulls forecast that the Dow Jones Industrial Average will end 2024 at about 41,231, 9% higher than current levels. Market optimists had a mean forecast of 5461 for the S&P 500 and 17,143 for the Nasdaq Composite —up 9% and 10%, respectively, from where the indexes were trading on May 1.

Is Morgan Stanley a buy or sell? ›

Right now, Morgan Stanley possesses a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy). In the context of valuation, Morgan Stanley is at present trading with a Forward P/E ratio of 14.86.

What is the stock price forecast for Morgan Stanley? ›

MS Stock 12 Month Forecast

Based on 19 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Morgan Stanley in the last 3 months. The average price target is $102.40 with a high forecast of $118.00 and a low forecast of $89.00. The average price target represents a 5.32% change from the last price of $97.23.

What is the target stock price forecast for 2024? ›

Target Stock Price Forecast 2024-2025

The forecasted Target price at the end of 2024 is $207 - and the year to year change +45%. The rise from today to year-end: +29%. In the middle of 2024, we expect to see $168.

Which stocks to buy in 2024? ›

Lok Sabha elections 2024 stock picks: Texrail, SBI, Bharti Airtel among 5 stock recommendations by Yes Securities. Stock Market News.

Will 2024 be a bull or bear market? ›

The S&P 500 soared throughout the year and finally reached a new high in January 2024, making the new bull market official. The onset of a new bull market has historically been a very reliable stock market indicator.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

Unlike the rapidly dwindling balance in your brokerage account, cash will still be in your pocket or in your bank account in the morning. However, while moving to cash might feel good mentally and help you avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be a wise move over the long term.

What is the stock market outlook for 2025? ›

Analysts expect S&P 500 profits to jump 8% in 2024 and 14% in 2025 after subdued growth last year, data compiled by BI show. The earnings forecast could be even higher next year in the event of zero rate cuts in 2024, said Andrew Slimmon, portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

Is Morgan Stanley a safe place to invest? ›

Morgan Stanley accounts are FDIC-insured up to $500,000 per customer, per account. Yes. Accounts on E-Trade from Morgan Stanley offer double the insurance coverage compared to most other banks. Morgan Stanley accounts are FDIC-insured up to $500,000 per customer, per account.

Which is better, Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley? ›

Goldman Sachs is most highly rated for Compensation and benefits and Morgan Stanley is most highly rated for Culture.

How financially strong is Morgan Stanley? ›

As a result of strong net new asset growth, the Firm has reached $7 trillion of client assets across Wealth and Investment Management. Institutional Securities also saw strength across the markets and underwriting businesses. The Morgan Stanley Integrated Firm model is delivering durable results.”

What is the Morgan Stanley forecast for 2024? ›

Morgan Stanley economists anticipate U.S. growth of 2.6% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025, compared with 2.5% in 2023. Year-over-year growth is likely to moderate toward the end of 2024 with fourth-quarter GDP growth of 2.1%, compared with 3.1% in the fourth quarter of 2023.

How much do I need to invest with Morgan Stanley? ›

There are no minimum balance requirements or account maintenance fees associated with the account (other fees may apply), and a client's interaction with Morgan Stanley will be primarily through electronic communications and online resources.

Who owns the most Morgan Stanley stock? ›

Largest institutional investors in Morgan Stanley
  • First and foremost, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG 3.18%) is by far the largest shareholder of Morgan Stanley. ...
  • State Street Corp. ...
  • Vanguard is the third-largest institutional investor, with its funds owning more than 109 million shares, accounting for a 6.2% stake.
Apr 18, 2024

What is the outlook for investment banking in 2024? ›

On the back of expectations for a recovery in M&A and ECM activity and more DCM deals, IB firms have started responding positively and expect modest growth in 2024. We expect an increase in restructuring activity, especially in sectors such as commercial real estate, technology and consumer.

What is the real estate outlook for Morgan Stanley? ›

Real estate has re-priced meaningfully over the last two years; returns following periods of re-pricing have typically exceeded historical averages. Strength in real estate fundamentals should support rent growth for high quality assets in sectors backed by long-term demand drivers.

What is Morgan Stanley's economic prediction? ›

A Mixed Growth Outlook

Here's a closer look at Morgan Stanley's outlook for growth across regions: In the U.S., growth should slow to 1.9% year over year in 2024 and 1.4% in 2025, down from an estimated 2.4% in 2023, as higher interest rates and tighter monetary policy work their way through the financial system.

What is the S&P outlook for 2024? ›

The estimates from strategists put the median target for the S&P 500 at 5,200 by the end of 2024, implying a decline of less than 1% from Friday's level, according to MarketWatch calculations. Heading into 2024, the median target was around 5,000 (see table below).

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