Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (2024)

Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the time

Author of the article:

Peter Hodson

Published Jul 28, 2022Last updated Jul 28, 20224 minute read

Join the conversation
Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (1)

When I first started in the investment world, I quickly discovered the joy — and pain — of trading options. At first, like most traders, I thought buying calls and puts was the key to quick riches. But after multiple losses as a 21-year-old, it became very clear to me that the riches were to be obtained from selling options, not buying them. Now, years later, I continue to sell options — mostly covered calls — to supplement my income.

Advertisem*nt 2

Story continues below

This advertisem*nt has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (2)

THIS CONTENT IS RESERVED FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.

  • Exclusive articles from Barbara Shecter, Joe O'Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.
  • Daily content from Financial Times, the world's leading global business publication.
  • Unlimited online access to read articles from Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.
  • National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on.
  • Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.

SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES

Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.

  • Exclusive articles from Barbara Shecter, Joe O'Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.
  • Daily content from Financial Times, the world's leading global business publication.
  • Unlimited online access to read articles from Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.
  • National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on.
  • Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.

REGISTER / SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES

Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.

  • Access articles from across Canada with one account.
  • Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments.
  • Enjoy additional articles per month.
  • Get email updates from your favourite authors.

Sign In or Create an Account

or

View more offers

Article content

We apologize, but this video has failed to load.

Try refreshing your browser, or
tap here to see other videos from our team.

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them Back to video

We apologize, but this video has failed to load.

Try refreshing your browser, or
tap here to see other videos from our team.

Selling a covered call gives you a premium (the option premium) and gives another investor the “option” to buy your stock at a fixed defined price, at a fixed expiry date in the future. For example, an option seller might get $2 to sell a $50 September call option on XYZ when XYZ shares are trading at $45. If XYZ goes above $50 before the expiry date (the third Saturday of each month), then the seller is obligated to sell their stock at $50. If XYZ fails to hit $50, he keeps his stock. Either way, the option seller keeps the $2 premium (options trade in 100 share contracts). So the potential upside is $7/share ($50 minus $45, plus $2 premium). The minimum return is $2/share. If XYZ declines, the maximum potential loss is whatever the stock goes to, minus the $2 call option premium received. Why do I think covered calls are an interesting strategy these days? Well, here are five reasons:

Article content

Article content

The seller of options wins 95 per cent of the time

Like being the owner of a casino in Vegas, when you sell options, the odds are in your favour. But in the options market you have even better odds than a casino. Practically every option buyer loses money. Why then, does the options market continue to exist? Well, there is of course a legitimate hedging need for options. But the main reason is … greed. When an options buyer is right, the leverage is miraculous. One can buy a short-term $0.50 option, at times, and see it go to $10, once in a while. Quick fortunes can be made if the market moves quickly and sharply. But, that is not the norm. The majority of options buyers — despite dreams of riches in their heads — typically just see their investment expire worthless. The option seller just keeps their money, thank you very much.

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (23)

Investor

Canada's best source for investing news, analysis and insight.

By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.

Article content

Advertisem*nt 3

Story continues below

This advertisem*nt has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.

Article content

Time is guaranteed

The market is a risky place, as investors have clearly been reminded in 2022. Nothing is guaranteed. Can the biggest company in Canada decline 75 per cent in six months? It just did. But one thing that is guaranteed is time. Sure as sunrise, each day clicks by, and each day every option is worth less in time value. As options tick by to expiration, the option seller is guaranteed that less time is available before expiry. Thus, time is the only real guarantee in the investment world. When you sell options, you are not necessarily trading stocks — you are selling time.

Premiums are treated as capital gains

Unless you are an extremely active trader and your main source of income is options trading, and you are a professional, the CRA treats options income as capital gains. Thus, for most investors, this means the lowest tax rate on income possible. Thus, one can supplement their income and keep more of their money. If a stock does move higher and is about to be called away, an investor can always buy back the option to cancel it, and the loss on that trade can be deducted from capital gains.

Advertisem*nt 4

Story continues below

This advertisem*nt has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.

Article content

Recommended from Editorial

  1. Five reasons the investment industry may work against some investors
  2. Five money-making strategies investors can use if the economy tips into recession
  3. Five daily affirmations to get investors through this latest bear market

Bear markets are ‘slightly’ less painful

The extra income from call options can reduce the pain a bit in a bear market. Sure, your stock might have declined from $75 to $50 in the past six months, but you might have picked up $10 or so in options premiums during that time. You have still lost money (on paper) of course, but the income still makes the bear market a little more BEARable (sorry, couldn’t resist). In addition, when markets are volatile, options premiums also increase in value, so in a roller-coaster market your option premium income can increase nicely. Still not great, but again, the higher income makes the weaker market slightly less painful.

Investors overestimate short-term stock market volatility

Options premiums can range wildly, depending on the underlying company, its volatility, dividends, balance sheet risk, sector and other factors. I prefer to only utilize one-month options for one reason: investors tend to overestimate stock volatility. In a 30 to 35-day period, the average stock simply does not move too much. But there are always investors who seem willing to bet on individual stock moves. Some stocks can provide call option premiums of five per cent to seven per cent, per month. Sure, sometimes markets will move a lot, and option sellers will have to sell a stock once in a while. But if an investor sells covered calls on 10 positions or so, it is not likely that many will move enough to get called away. And if they do, so what? If the option strike price is higher than the current price, investors still make lots of money — just less than they would if they had done nothing. But making money in the current market is tough. Are we really going to complain about making less money in a bear market?

Peter Hodson, CFA, is founder and head of Research at 5i Research Inc., an independent investment research network helping do-it-yourself investors reach their investment goals. He is also portfolio manager for the i2i Long/Short U.S. Equity Fund. (5i Research staff do not own Canadian stocks. i2i Long/Short Fund may own non-Canadian stocks mentioned.)

Article content

Comments

You must be logged in to join the discussion or read more comments.

Create an AccountSign in

Join the Conversation

Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion. Please keep comments relevant and respectful. Comments may take up to an hour to appear on the site. You will receive an email if there is a reply to your comment, an update to a thread you follow or if a user you follow comments. Visit our Community Guidelines for more information.

Trending

  1. Meet Nvidia's Canadian secret weapon
  2. Why the smart money is buying single-family homes
  3. A 50-cent Canadian dollar, $3,000 gold and housing market fixes: FP top videos
  4. Young Canadians think retiring at 65 is an outdated concept
  5. Gold could go as high as $3,000, forecasters say

Read Next

This Week in Flyers

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (2024)

FAQs

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them? ›

The seller of options wins 95 per cent of the time

Can you lose money with options? ›

Like other securities including stocks, bonds and mutual funds, options carry no guarantees. Be aware that it's possible to lose the entire principal invested, and sometimes more. As an options holder, you risk the entire amount of the premium you pay. But as an options writer, you take on a much higher level of risk.

Are options a good way to make money? ›

An option buyer can make a substantial return on investment if the option trade works out. This is because a stock price can move significantly beyond the strike price. For this reason, option buyers often have greater (even unlimited) profit potential.

Is selling options good or bad? ›

Selling options can provide a consistent income stream, but it comes with the risk of unlimited losses. On the other hand, buying options offers potential for substantial gains with limited risk, but they can expire worthless, leading to loss of the initial investment.

What is a better option, buying or selling? ›

If you are interested in making big profits from one trade, then you should go for buying options. If you are satisfied with making small profits multiple times, then you can sell options. You must remember that you will be assuming a payoff profile of limited profits and unlimited losses if you sell options.

How many people lose money in options trading? ›

His agency, the Securities and Exchange Board of India, known as Sebi, says 90% of active retail traders lose money trading options and other derivative contracts. In the year ended March 2022, the latest for which figures are available, investors lost $5.4 billion.

Do options lose value every day? ›

However, as time passes and the option isn't yet profitable, time decay accelerates, particularly in the last 30 days before expiration. As a result, the option's value declines as the expiry approaches, and more so if it's not yet profitable.

Can you become a millionaire from options? ›

You might very well have the patience and diligence to get rich with options. It will probably take you years to accomplish, but with dedication and effort it is entirely possible to make a lot of money with options on top of your long-term investing.

Can options make you millionaire? ›

Not everyone can be a successful options trader. However, some can and do get quite rich trading options. Becoming a successful options trader requires a specific skill set, personality type, and attitude, like any undertaking. These are not beyond your reach if you truly desire to learn.

Why do people lose money in option trading? ›

Many Options or entirely stocks do not have liquidity. This not only makes the entry difficult due to the difficulty of getting a good bargain but also makes an exit difficult. At times in many stock options, there are no quotes after a big move. This makes it impossible to book profits.

Can you live off of selling options? ›

If you're wondering if I can make a living trading options, you can trade options full-time and make a comfortable living. But first, you must know how to trade put and call options properly. Learning technical analysis is key if you're looking to enter the wonderful world of trading options for a living.

When should you not buy options? ›

Typically, you don't want to buy an option with six to nine months remaining if you only plan on being in the trade for a couple of weeks, since the options will be more expensive and you will lose some leverage.

Do option sellers really make money? ›

Selling options can help generate income in which they get paid the option premium upfront and hope the option expires worthless. Option sellers benefit as time passes and the option declines in value; in this way, the seller can book an offsetting trade at a lower premium.

What is the downside to selling options? ›

Selling options puts the premium in your pocket up front, but it exposes you to risk—potentially substantial risk—if the market moves against you.

What is the success rate of option selling? ›

Now it has been seen that a seller of an option has 2/3rd chance of making profit whereas a buyer of an option has only 1/3rd chance of making profit.

Who loses money when you make money on options? ›

The seller of options wins 95 per cent of the time

Like being the owner of a casino in Vegas, when you sell options, the odds are in your favour. But in the options market you have even better odds than a casino. Practically every option buyer loses money.

How fast do options lose value? ›

In the last month of the life of an option, theta increases sharply, and the days required for a one-point decline in premium falls rapidly. At five days remaining until expiration, the option is losing one point in just less than half a day (0.45 days).

Do option sellers lose money? ›

Unlike an option buyer who has the potential of unlimited profit with limited risk, the Option seller is in the opposite situation. An Option Seller has little profits and unlimited loss potential on the premium earned.

Do 90% of traders lose money? ›

Based on several brokers' studies, as many as 90% of traders are estimated to lose money in the markets. This can be an even higher failure rate if you look at day traders, forex traders, or options traders.

References

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Tish Haag

Last Updated:

Views: 6079

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (67 voted)

Reviews: 90% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Tish Haag

Birthday: 1999-11-18

Address: 30256 Tara Expressway, Kutchburgh, VT 92892-0078

Phone: +4215847628708

Job: Internal Consulting Engineer

Hobby: Roller skating, Roller skating, Kayaking, Flying, Graffiti, Ghost hunting, scrapbook

Introduction: My name is Tish Haag, I am a excited, delightful, curious, beautiful, agreeable, enchanting, fancy person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.